Ignore the Noise, Watch the Line — Monday’s Trade Map
Morning Market Context – April 14th, 2025
We’re kicking off the week with a stable tone — ES up 0.45%, NQ up 0.33%, and UVXY down -10.6%, which is a strong sign of volatility fading. After last week’s historic whipsaw and policy panic, the markets are trying to regain composure.
The pre-market high is currently 5482. This becomes our first test of strength for bulls. If price can break this level with volume, we may see momentum carry us toward 5500, potentially retesting previous supply zones from earlier sessions. However, this is not a low-volume breakout trade — we need strong participation for follow-through.
Should 5482 break before the regular session opens, I’ll shift my focus to retest entries off that breakout zone rather than chasing. If the level rejects instead, I’ll assess whether price simply returns to close the overnight gap or just rotates back to VWAP — either case may offer a secondary long setup.
Key Technical Zones (ES)
Support: 5431 → 5396 → 5378
Resistance: 5482 → 5500 → 5525
VWAP Anchors: Holding above rising VWAP clusters — still bullish.
Bullish Game Plan
If we open strong and break 5482 with volume, I’ll look to:
Long above 5482, targeting 5500, then 5525 on strength
Use a tight trailing stop under 5460, especially if volume thins out
Confirm with NQ/SPY leading or in sync — no solo squeezes
Bearish Game Plan:
If 5525 rejects again, or we lose 5430:
Short below 5430 targeting 5378 and potentially 5344
Avoid early short traps — wait for lower highs and breakdowns under VWAP
Final Thought:
There’s a lot of headline noise flying around — fear, confusion, and hot takes. But as traders, we don’t trade headlines — we trade price.
Today is not the day to be bearish unless the structure shifts. Stay focused. Respect the levels. Let price action confirm your bias — not the other way around.
Want a visual playbook for how I’m trading these squeezes and pullbacks?
The Smart Trader’s Blueprint – Long Setups
It’s a distilled guide packed with:
✔️ 7+ annotated A+ long setups
✔️ Entry, stop, and target logic
✔️ Emotional triggers to avoid
✔️ A full month of Live Edge Zoom access
✔️ Upgrade path to video modules
And right now, you can grab it at 60% off — but only until midnight tonight.
Use code BLUEPRINT60 here: Use Code: BLUEPRINT60
Let’s trade the open with structure and confidence.
Disclosure
The information provided in this article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve substantial risk, and it is important to conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or gains that may result from actions
Trading futures, stocks, and options involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.